Red, Blue or Purple States: a Colorful Guide to U.S. Elections

Posted by Speakeasy News > Friday 16 October 2020 > In the News

All U.S. states are not equal when it comes to time and budget lavished on them by presidential candidates and political parties. Most of the focus is on states which are variously referred to as swing states, battleground states or purple states.

In the presidential election, it's not the national popular vote that counts, but state-by-state wins, and the electoral college votes they represent. States have a number of electoral college votes relative to their population so a populous state like California (55 votes) is a lot more interesting to candidates than Montana with three.

In the elections for Congress a similar logic operates. In the Senate all states have the same number of seats, but in the House of Representatives, states are allocated seats by population, like the electoral college. So again the populous states attract more campaign promises and funding.

This U.S. State Department graphic shows the relative importance of different states.

Swing States
Beyond pure numbers, there are also well-entrenched voting traditions in many states. So although the parties campaign there, they focus their efforts on states with less clear-cut traditions: swing states vary their vote from one election to another and so seem more persuadable. They are also often referred to as purple states since the two parties are represented by red (Republicans, or GOP) and blue (Democrats).

This graphic shows which states are true blue or true red, which are pink or baby blue (less firmly attached to one party) and those that are considered swing states based on the results of the last 10 presidential elections, here in grey.

Experts differ on which states to consider swing or battleground in any specific election. Those most quoted this year are Arizona (11 EC votes), Florida (29), Georgia (16), Iowa (6), Michigan (16), North Carolina (15), Ohio (18), Pennsylvania (20) and Wisconsin (10).

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